Trump and other managers are discussing the project, but are looking forward to a ball of articles that must be ready to go immediately.
US President Donald Trump believes that the idea that the force to maintain the important peace and support the military established in Europe (including members of the two states) could be present in Ukraine within the framework of the De Paix agreement. It is important that this idea is rejected before it is unobtrusive to the prospects for a quick peace and does not cause Ukraine further humanitarian, economic and regional benefits.
Following publication by the Wall Street Journal and Le Monde, the idea first emerged after private discussions between French and British officials in November. This matter has been discussed by Foreign Affairs Ministers in Brussels. Trump is this proposal made by French President Emmanuel Macron and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky during a meeting in Paris on December 7.
Macron went to Warsaw to talk about a project involving 40,000 European “peace soldiers”, who are providing military advances, with the Polish government, without officials at the present time being cold at the general level. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated: “In order to continue speculation about the existence of telephone or mobile phone capabilities in Ukraine after the fire has stopped, […] Decisions regarding Poland will be made to Warsaw and only to Warsaw. For the instant, we do not receive any of these activities. »
Friedrich Merz, of the German Christian Democratic Party, is looking to make sure there is an opportunity after the previous elections in February, as well as at a distance from the relationship with this idea.
On first view, this idea might seem to align with mutually contradictory pressures around the Ukraine peace process: the Russian demand for a feature that definitively excludes Ukraine; Ukrainian demand for Western guarantees against future Russian aggression; Trump’s decision not to send US forces to the terrain or not to make complementary and permanent commitments to the United States throughout Ukraine. And the real need for a large international force to patrol along the armistice line.
Regarding just one problem: both Russian officials and experts along with my colleagues and their teachers (at the last day of the year), the idea of Western groups in Ukraine is completely unacceptable to the government and the Russian establishment que l’adhésion de l’Ukraine à l’OTAN. In fact, it does not seem that the Russians would be fundamentally different between the two.
From Moscow’s point of view, the story of the Western “peace-keeping force” is not the vanguard of OTAN serving cover by introducing additional progressive forces as well as several OTANs. In fact, if President Zelensky declared that Ukraine “can envision” the idea of a peace-keeping force, there would be no chance that it would also get a clear calendar for its future accession to the homelands. . If General Kellogg, chosen by the President or Trump as envoy to Ukraine, makes this proposal during negotiations, the Russian side will refuse to refuse. If she insists on this, the casting will hesitate.
However, it seems likely that European institutions – and populations – will have time to rethink this idea, as capitulation disappears. In fact, the soldiers of this place are forced to remain in a position of great danger, which may make their citizens tolerant. When Macron first proposed a French divisive envoy to Ukraine at the beginning of the year, opinion pieces showed that a clear majority of French citizens were against the idea.
The risks must be clear. In part, the Ukrainians have decided to regain lost territories in Ukraine by provoking a direct war between OTAN and Russia, and are fully interested in starting armed attacks on Western “peace soldiers”. Seraient inside.
In another area, if Moscow is indeed going to test OTAN and take advantage of future divisions in the West, comment that it is better than threatening OTAN’s “peace soldiers” in Ukraine along its territory l’OTAN and not covered by Article 5 of l’OTAN? It is a deep cognitive dissonance, a deep flaw in dealing with the Western animals that guard against the future Russian threat represented by “testing Otan’s decision” in the major countries that propose to give Russia some opportunity. Grande plus statement and more reasonable to live in Ukraine.
In these circumstances, it seems clear that European governments and military leaders accept a new proposal because, also in principle, they need general and non-failable guarantees from the Trump administration that the US military will intervene. With all the force needed to save them, the “Guardians of Peace” will be subjected to a Russian attack.
This is due to the engagement on behalf of Ukraine and potential war with Russia, which Trump and his key members are prepared to avoid. Referring to the Wall Street Journal article: “French officials clearly indicate that the idea must refer to a kind of American South, which is not certain when envisioned by the Trump administration.” »
These factors are neither mysterious nor difficult to understand. It also doesn’t look like a balloon of articles, it is quite visible, and the fact that it can also be a whisper for some meters of the sun is interesting. This idea suggests that Trump and the European governments concerned are receiving inaccurate advice about the positions of the Russian base. We should not assume that these are very modest recommendations, as the advisors concerned wish to achieve a peace agreement. If so, they are not friends with Ukraine, as all doors will turn towards war, and Ukraine’s situation will deteriorate.
Anatole Levin is Director of the European Program at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. He is a distinguished professor at Georgetown University in Qatar, and in the Department of War Studies at King’s College London.
The views examined by the authors of Responsible Statecraft do not necessarily reflect the cells of the Quincy Institute or its associates.
source : The Art of Responsible Statecraft, Anatole Levin12-16-2024
Translated by readers of Les-Crises
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