President Trump was astonished by the world by announcing that the United States was “owning” Gaza and graduated from the Palestinians there to build “Riviera in the Middle East.” And as much as it seemed unrealistic and strange, Mr. Trump was indicating a serious challenge: the future of Gaza in a safe and peaceful place and even a prosperous.
Former French ambassador in Washington, Gerard Arud, strictly put the dilemma. “Trump’s suggestion of Gaza is met with disbelief, opposition and ridicule, but as he does, in his brutal way and resolve, he raises a real question: What does he do when two million civilians find themselves in a field of rubble, full of outbreaks and bodies?”
This is an issue, the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, may always escape. He refused to engage in the issue of who will rule Gaza after the conflict, and this is largely due to the fact that he would undermine his ruling alliance, which depends on the extreme right -wing parties that wish to resettle Gaza with the Israelis.
“The suggestion of Mr. Trump on Tuesday may seem” no less than historical resets for decades of diplomatic wisdom, “said Chak Frilic, former Israeli National Security Adviser. Green and lead to new openings. “
What Mr. Trump described – The forced transition of a million Palestinians from Gaza to countries such as Egypt and Jordan, who is strongly opposed to their taking – will not happen.
He said: “Trump is a man who does not want new military obligations, and now he wants to move two million people who do not want to go to places that you do not want.” But Trump picks up a real problem, on how to rebuild Gaza. The important thing with Trump is to choose real issues and convert stupid issues. “
At his press conference, Mr. Trump failed to discuss one of the biggest problems in his dream: Hamas, the Palestinian armed group devoted to the destruction of Israel. Hamas set out in the war that destroyed Gaza and killed nearly 50,000 Palestinian civilians and fighters, with October 7, 2023, attacked him on Israel. Despite the pledge to destroy Hamas and dismantle its control over Gaza, Israel has not achieved any of the goals, which leads to the right -wing members of Mr. Netanyahu’s alliance to demand that the war continue after the first phase of the current ceasefire.
Mr. Trump has explained that he does not want to start the fighting again, but it seems that he has no answer to how Hamas was expelled from Gaza, a pre -condition for help from many Arab governments to rebuild the pocket. The idea of the American forces fighting and died in Gaza seems unreasonable from the president who wanted to get it out of Afghanistan, Syria and Iraq. It is possible that preserving peace to allow reconstruction and resettlement tens of thousands of American forces for a decade or more.
Trump officials were retreating from some of his proposals on Wednesday, saying that any population would be temporary.
But Hamas has made it clear that it is not going anywhere, and is supposed to fight the American forces because it has fought the Israeli forces. As Basem Naim, a member of the group’s political bureau, said in a statement condemning Trump’s proposal, what Mr. Netanyahu failed to present to President Joseph R. Biden Junior – “to remove the residents of the Gaza Strip” in “implementing the genocide against our people” – “No new administration will succeed in implementation.”
Michael Milchain, the Israeli analyst for Palestinian affairs, said that in discussions with Jordanian, Egyptian and Palestinian colleagues, no one wants to discuss this deal, because there will be no willingness to evacuate Gaza, and I cannot, and I cannot search for an Arab country Or a leader ready to accept the Palestinians.
Even if nothing comes from Mr. Trump’s proposal, the flood now threatens Jordan and Egypt, and they are two decisive allies in the Middle East with the longest history of diplomatic relations with Israel, and therefore, “unreasonable, strategic”, said “incomprehensible concept.” Tom Philips, a former British ambassador to Israel and Saudi Arabia.
Jordan is already more than half a Palestinian ethnic, and for King Abdullah, who will meet with Mr. Trump next week, to accept more Palestinian refugees “will undermine the kingdom and the end of the king,” said Mr. Milchain, a ruling repeated by many. He and Mr. Phillips said that many Jordan are already questioning the existence of a “Zionist conspiracy” to include the occupied West Bank and the establishment of a Palestinian state from Jordan.
Egypt may have more spaces and it is in urgent need of American financial aid, but its president, Abd al -Fahi al -Sisi, is a fierce deduction of Islamic extremism, which he tried to fill him brutally in Sinai and Muslim brothers. Including enthusiasm part. Mr. Milchain said that the idea that it would allow “hundreds of thousands of people who support enthusiasm in Egypt” is unimaginable.
Even at the height of the fighting, Mr. Al -Sisi invented a walled area near the border with Gaza in the event of pressure on Ghazan in Egypt, to prevent them from going further. And Egypt, which considers itself the most important Arab country, does not want to look at it as Washington.
Christophe Hyoussten, a former German ambassador to the United Nations leading the Munich Security Conference, recalled that Jared Kushner, the son -in -law of Mr. Trump, spoke about Gaza as wonderful real estate last year, but he suggested resettlement of Ghazan in Israel, in NEGEV. He said that the Arab countries will simply reject the transmission of the population, “and the other other way is the military power, and this genocide.” Mr. Hyoujin said that the Saudis are calling for a Palestinian state opposed by Mr. Netanyahu, and Mr. Trump says he wants to get out of the conflicts, “not sending American forces to another.
“It seems dead upon his arrival,” he said.
There was a serious diplomatic conversation that started during the era of Mr. Biden, of a kind of international gatherings to supervise and rebuild Gaza that would include officials from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates and other countries under the leadership of Ijis, at least, from the weak Palestinian Authority in Mahmoud Abbas. This assumes that Hamas will not be in control.
But Hamas has no intention to abandon its control or targets, not to mention disarmament. She has expressed her willingness to establish a “administrative committee” to rule Gaza with other parties, including the Arab countries and the Palestinian Authority, and expanded in an Egyptian initiative. It is believed that such a committee is just a cosmetic cover that allows Hamas to maintain security control while reducing its responsibility for civil rule.
Mr. Trump was silent on the future of an independent Palestinian state, which became a decisive demand from Saudi Arabia after the destruction and death in Gaza. The Saudis rushed to oppose Mr. Trump’s plan in a statement overnight, and explains that any normalization with Israel, as Mr. Trump wants to rely, depends on concrete steps towards a viable independent Palestinian state, including Gaza. This is exactly the result that Mr. Netanyahu has pledged.
Simon Lidin, a former deputy assistant minister of defense in the Middle East, said during Trump’s first presidency that Mr. Trump was putting a preliminary position to negotiate. This is a “starting position”. “It is negotiations – it’s the Middle East.”
Mrs. Lydin said, Mr. Trump’s success in helping a conversation. She said that Mr. Trump talked about the American forces, but “he left the door open to other parties to participate or seize it.”
However, there are still tremendous doubts in the region about Washington’s ability to build the state in the Middle East, after American failures in Iraq and Afghanistan, or about its willingness to stay for many years.
Trump’s proposal to the real and current problem in Gaza also overwhelmed whether Israel and Hamas will succeed in overcoming this first phase of the ceasefire agreement on the second most striking stage, which will include Israeli concessions that Mr. Netanyahu was also unwilling to make. The coalition partners pledged to bring down the government if he ended them and ends the war effectively with Hamas still exists.
Whether Mr. Trump, according to his proposal, has helped Mr. Netanyahu to calm his partners, it remains to look at him – as well as whether Mr. Trump continues to pressure Mr. Netanyahu to conclude this deal regardless of the political cost.
